S&P 500 — Pit vs Rollover
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SPX cash index
7300 Line in sand · close below = rollover
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7473 Reclaim · re-arms the melt-up
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7500 Call wall · melt-up confirm tag
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Liquidity & Long End
SRF take-up (same day)
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Normal ~$0–2B. Alarm at tens of $B outside quarter-end.
SOFR
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Watch a spike that fails to compress (esp. early July).
30Y Treasury
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Alarm at 5.00%.
Kill Switch
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days to 2026-07-15. On/after this date the monitor flags
KILL_SWITCH — take profits regardless of price.
About
Read-only signal monitor. It tracks the pit-vs-rollover
decision tree (SPX 7300 / 7473 / 7500) plus funding plumbing (SRF, SOFR, 30Y) and surfaces the
pre-agreed action on each state change. It never places a trade.